Thursday, January 26, 2012

LET THEM PLAY IT OUT!

The conservative battleground in the primary has been playing out like a football playoff game. Anybody who regularly watches the NFL is aware that the Pittsburg Steelers were favored to beat the Denver Broncos in the first round of the AFC title playoff game.


Moreover in the NFC the top seated Green Bay Packers were considered a shoe in to be in the Super Bowl. Yet, despite these teams being better on paper than their opponents they went on to defeat rather than victory.

Only the New England Patriots survived their top seated placement in the AFC surprising their loyal fan base that worries then and now about a shaky defense can’t hold a close game lead. It is arguable that the Baltimore Ravens lost their opportunity to beat the Patriots not just because of the inexcusable missed punt but because they fail to make the plays they needed to win.

Romney has been talked up as the frontrunner in the primary by all the pundits declaring that he and he alone will be able to beat Obama and win a plurality of delegates both in the primary and in the general election.

Gingrich was thought to be the underdog that would be forced to drop out long before Perry, Cain and Bachman because of a laundry list of reasons.

Like those picking odds in football the quarterbacks, player matchups and coaching are all analyzed by the sports world to make one team the favorite and the other team the underdog in the Super Bowl.

Green Bay, New Orleans and Pittsburg were all favorites yet they all lost showing once again that no matter how expert and logical may be your opinion you never know who wins until the game is played.

There are just four GOP candidates left to battle in the States vying for 2488 delegates. To date prior to the Florida primary a total of only 58 delegates have been parsed out among the candidates. The Primary will essentially be called when any candidate receives 1,144 or more to claim a victory.

Florida has 50 delegates up for grabs and if Romney had won Iowa and South Carolina a number of political pundits were surprisingly suggesting that he would be crowned not only the front runner but all other candidates should concede.

Once again the so-called expert odd makers are as wrong about elections as football. Romney not only lost South Carolina to Gingrich he lost Iowa to Santorum. New Hampshire has 10 delegates; Iowa has 24 and South Carolina 23 with some states being awarded bonus delegates for a number of reasons such as voting for a Republican governor last election.

However the delegate award is different in different States with some States like Florida being a winner takes all while other States are splitting their delegates. The point being Romney is currently not the front runner and even if he wins Florida he will still be far from a delegate count that presumes him victory.

Sports odd makers and analysts make their living talking about teams and making their picks to win a game based on their knowledge yet unlike political pundits they know that ultimately their expertise means nothing.
The game must be played on the field.

Political pundits however are far more arrogant and infective of the primary process when they spew their predictions. They are trying to influence the vote, discourage the upset, peddle their choice to the public and manipulate the electorate’s desire to vote for a winner.

The South Carolina primary was dispositive of three major changes in the “Party politics as usual” that tries to corral the public into the pen of the Party’s choice for a nominee.

One, it simply did not work. Their so-called “electable” candidate was soundly rejected by Carolinians. Two, the GOP pundits had help from an equally corrupt political influence peddler, the liberal press that threw old dirt in the air on Gingrich days before the ballot. South Carolinian’s said “who cares?”

Three, one of the biggest changes that the Tea Party Movement has made in the political world has been in educating the voter. This electorate is smarter, savvier and refuses to be told whom to support and whom to reject by the GOP, the Press or even each other.

The public understands that in the primary this is their only opportunity prior to the general election to support and vote for their candidate. They are rightfully ignoring the electability pessimism prediction.

Romney has not received the most delegates so far but has received the most endorsements by GOP party elites. Endorsements have always been debated as to their effectiveness in winning over voters. They seem to be of dubious value when coming from outsiders not running and have only marginal success from those who drop out early in a race.

Endorsements seem only to have success when the primary tightens up and a popular candidate decides to drop out and throw their support to the current leader. We are far from any concession speeches by any of the four remaining candidates.


Romney, Gingrich, Santorum and Paul have yet to win or lose anything close to a right to claim victory or a need to concede. Even after the Florida winner- take- all 50 delegates primary that will change the current leader board whoever wins cannot claim anything more than being 50 delegates richer.

The remaining primary candidates have many States races to win and many other hurdles such as fund raising and organizational issues to contend with but electability is not among those obstacles. All four candidates are as electable as they continue to gather delegates or not.

Obama was never considered the frontrunner early on in the Democratic
primary race of 2008 instead Hillary Clinton was the presumptive candidate to beat and we all know how that expert political pundit prediction turned out.

Sunday, January 8, 2012

OLD FASHIONED VOTER REMEDY


The Democrats and the President have been effective with some American voters in manipulating the perception that Republicans in the House and Senate along with former president George Bush are to blame for all our woes.
Not only is this accounting of reality fictional rubbish it is a lie from those that want nothing more than to bring down America by destroying her foundational wholesomeness.
Americans need to face facts and ignore finger pointing arguments by vapid politicians. The House was altered in the 2010 but in any election cycle only a third of the political seats are up for re-election by the voters.
The new blood in the House has been an infusion of political penicillin to the disease of corruption, cronyism and constitutional subterfuge. However, the small minority of new members cannot cure the patient (Congress) for two reasons.
One the Democrats still hold the majority in the Senate and two the old guard Republican Senate and House members continue to refuse to attack the virus fearing they will suffer political reprisal.
Pundits and some Americans still don’t understand the aim of the Tea Party Movement. The failure to win the Senate in 2010 which allowed Harry Reid to be the guardian of the gridlock gate is pointed to as an Angle blunder.
However, the odd thing about failure is that in order to truly find success one needs to learn from mistakes not fold the tent. True failure is giving up and the Tea Party Movement has only just begun to battle the breeding beltway contagion.

Yes we failed in 2010 to win the senate but we have stopped the President and the Democrats from continuing to ramrod through their long list of anti-American legislation designed to infect every aspect of America’s soundness.
The gridlock therefore is representative of the patient under medical supervision but by no means out of critical condition as we await the 2012 election. It is imperative that we win the Senate this time if we hope to wellness to come to our nation.

The effects of the Tea Party Movement’s rise have had unseen influence in a multiplicity of ways that either isn’t reported or continues to be undervalued by oblivious political observers.
It matters little whether you call yourself a Tea Party Movement member instead it is more important that the voter choose a side. Are you on the side of America’s health as a proud nation or are you on the side of those wishing to see her crumble into Roman ruin.
The Democratic left is no longer hiding their secret statist socialist agenda. Worse for them is that the Europe they always pointed to as proof that there can be a socialist state that works is equally exposed as dysfunctional.
Americans are not only on the track of Greece and Italy’s infirmity caused by Democratic socialists policies coupled by Republican lameness but even if we start to recover it will be a long painful rehab.
The presidential race is important for one aspect of recovery and the Senate is another much like a patient that needs illness fighting medicine but equally restive care.
The results of the 2012 election will be critical. In the executive branch America needs leadership that understands the importance of re-establishing America’s boldness as a strong guardian against menacing nations in the world.

 In the Senate the curative must take place quickly and extensively by first stopping the bleeding by addressing the debt with real surgery to the federal budget along with repeal and reform of many unhealthy beltway habits.
Many political pundits are making predictions about the 2012
If Americans continue to re-elect those representatives who both poisoned America and continue to feed her arsenic as she languishes then shame on us.
There is no reason to claim that you have been fooled anymore.
America is not a dying old man but an infant comparatively in the historic timeline of nations and if we fail to save the baby from the bathwater there will be grave consequences for generations to come.
We have a two party system and we have ultimately two choices. Return the power to the Democrats that want to re-birth America into a socialist’s state or replace the power with Republicans that have pledged to save her.

Yes there will be some blue blooded liberal Republicans residing in both Houses but the good news is that these political cowards will no longer be able to hide from the voter if they dare side with the minority. It would be political suicide and their expedient hubris would keep them voting with the majority.

The 2012 election is about the Senate as much as it is a presidential race. If Americans want reform and greater opportunity in the future we need to go back to basic fundamental limited government.
The American citizens can bring America back to health by voting against the liberal disease eating away at our liberties.